Issue 25117 of the football lottery: Utrecht shows strong offense, Braga dominates at a lower level, Mainz is solid.

1. Midtjylland vs KuPS

The home team began to display their capabilities in their last game against Fredericia, whereas the away team also put in a good performance against Legia. Still, there's a significant difference in strength, and the stats strongly support the home side.

Home win

2. BrannVSAEK Larnaca

Brann has a slight edge in overall strength, but it's not a big advantage. They split their last two matches against Häcken, so their form is unstable. The away team advanced after defeating Warsaw, showing some offensive prowess. The data gives considerable support to the home team, similar to Larnaca's previous away match, but the context is different this time.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win

3. ShkëndijaVSLudogorets

There is a gap in quality between the two sides, and the visitors have much more European experience. The data supports the away team, but not overwhelmingly so, suggesting some reservations about Ludogorets.

First choice: away win; backup: draw

4. ZrinjskiVSUtrecht

The home team is considerably weaker than the visitors. Although both previous meetings ended in draws, those were long ago and not very relevant. Utrecht, despite losing to Rotterdam last round, has shown strong attacking form in the league. The hosts, however, are tough opponents.

The data favors the away team, and this level of support seems reasonable given the circumstances.

Away win

5. BrăilaVSYoung Boys

The home side is not as strong as the visitors, but they perform well at home. The away team struggles on the road. The data doesn't show a clear bias, but gives some support to the away team, though not as much as one might expect.

First pick: away win; second pick: home win

6. AberdeenVSBucharest

The home team is somewhat weaker than their opponents, and neither side has shown good form recently. The data is fairly neutral, though it slightly favors the home team, but not convincingly so.

Draw

7. RijekaVSThessaloniki

The home side is weaker than the visitors, and neither team has a particularly strong attack, especially the away team, who have underperformed.

The data supports the away team, but only modestly.

Primary pick: away win; secondary pick: draw

8. Lincoln Red ImpsVSBraga

There is a clear difference in quality, with Braga having demonstrated strong offense and defense in the Portuguese league over the past two years. Lincoln is resilient defensively but lacks attacking power, and their opponents haven't been particularly strong.

The data heavily supports the away team, which should be quite reliable.

Away win

9. RosenborgVSMainz

Rosenborg is notably weaker than Mainz, but both teams are in good form lately. Mainz, in particular, has shown excellent attacking and defensive strength, while Rosenborg has proven their home ability over several rounds.

The data favors the away team, but not excessively so considering the difference in league strength. For Rosenborg, a draw would be a good result.

First pick: away win; backup: draw

10. HäckenVSCFR Cluj

Häcken is stronger than Cluj, but both teams have been underwhelming recently. The data favors the home side, and this level of support is fairly friendly to them.

Home win

11. AnderlechtVSAthens

Anderlecht is stronger than Athens, and recent matches show the home team in better form, with a stronger attack. However, Anderlecht may not take this match too seriously.

The data supports the home team, but only slightly.

Primary pick: home win; secondary pick: away win

12. StrasbourgVSBrøndby

Strasbourg is stronger than Brøndby, and the data gives them solid support. However, Brøndby has proven to be a tough opponent in recent matches.

First pick: home win; backup: draw

13. Crystal PalaceVSFredericia

Home win

14. Santa ClaraVSShamrock Rovers

Santa Clara is clearly stronger than the visitors, and the data gives them overwhelming support, almost dismissing Shamrock Rovers as underdogs. However, the away team has significant European experience and shouldn't be underestimated.

First pick: home win; second pick: away win