Issue 29128 of the football victory lottery features many ambiguous matches; the strong are not always certain, and the weak are not necessarily weak.

1 CroatiaVSMontenegro

The home side has won all three matches and is currently second in the group. In their last game, they secured a 1-0 victory over the Faroe Islands. Considering the abilities of both sides, the home team should be expected to perform better.

The away team has played four matches with two wins and two losses, having played one more game and standing second. They lost 0-2 at home against the Czech Republic. From these four games, the away team appears to lack strength when facing slightly stronger opponents.

The data gives strong backing to the home team.

Home win

2 GreeceVSDenmark

Looking at overall strength and rankings, the home team is at a disadvantage. However, in their opening match, they crushed Belarus 5-0 at home, showing powerful offense.

The away team drew 0-0 with Scotland in their first match, dominating overall but failing to score.

The data offers slight support to the home team, but the strength of this support is limited. Considering both teams’ current form, the away side remains dangerous.

First home win, then away win

3 KosovoVSSweden

The home team ranks below the away team in overall strength and standings. They lost 0-4 to Switzerland in their opening game, showing limited ability.

The away team drew 2-2 with Slovenia in their first match but showed some defensive weaknesses.

The data supports the away team, but given the relative strength of both sides, this backing seems insufficient.

First away win, then draw

4 SwitzerlandVSSlovenia

The home team won 4-0 against Kosovo in their first match, displaying strong offense and defense.

The away team drew 2-2 at home against the capable Sweden side, showing some offensive ability despite defensive flaws.

The data strongly favors the home team, but this support is somewhat inadequate.

First home win, then draw

5 ArmeniaVSIreland

The home team showed limited strength, losing 0-5 to Portugal in their first match, though they had some chances and played proactively overall.

The away team drew 2-2 with Hungary in their opening game, demonstrating offensive capability but with defensive weaknesses.

The data supports the away team, but the strength of this support is not very high.

First away win, then draw

6 Bosnia and HerzegovinaVSAustria

The home team has won all four matches and leads the group, though against weaker opponents. The away team has three wins and one less match, ranking second.

This match is very important for both sides; the winner will gain an advantage in the group.

The data supports the away team strongly, and they have the capability to back it up.

Away win

7 CyprusVSRomania

In their first-round encounter, the home team lost 0-2 to the away side. Technical analysis shows the home team has limited strength but their defense performed reasonably well overall.

The data strongly favors the away team, but this support is weaker compared to the first leg, suggesting the home side might still cause an upset at home.

First away win, then draw

8 FranceVS Iceland

Home win

9 Hungary VS Portugal

The home team drew with Ireland in their first match, while the away team won 5-0 against Armenia. However, the away team’s performance was not as smooth as expected.

The data supports the away team, but given the relative strengths, this support is insufficient.

First away win, then draw

10 Serbia VS England

Both teams have performed well in the group. The home team is four points behind the away team despite having played one fewer match. However, England’s last match against Andorra was not very convincing.

The data supports the away team, but the strength of this support seems somewhat lacking.

First away win, then home win

11 Ecuador VS Argentina

The home team’s defense is very resilient, while the away team’s away form appears less stable.

The data favors the away team, but this support seems somewhat weak given the relative strengths.

First away win, then draw

12 BoliviaVSBrazil

The home team is strong at home, while under coach Tite, the away team seems to have regained some of their traditional samba style.

The data supports the away team, but this backing is very limited and unbalanced considering the teams’ strengths. Still, I trust Tite’s ability.

Away win

13 PeruVSParaguay

The home team is a typical powerhouse at home, performing very well. The away team is overall decent but lacks the offensive strength seen in the home side.

The data supports the home team strongly, and given the relative strengths, the home side is favored by outsiders. The away team’s away performance is somewhat diminished.

Draw

14 VenezuelaVSColombia

The home team performs very well at home, having denied Argentina and Brazil any advantage. The away team’s away ability appears lacking.

The data supports the home team moderately, giving them credit based on relative strength. If the away team can overcome this opponent, they could move up a level, as they are currently only one win behind the top two.

First home win, then away win