Issue 25130 of the football victory lottery: Crystal Palace is optimistic, Villa is declining, Newcastle is turning around, and Real Madrid should be cautious.

1 BournemouthVSBrighton

The home side has two wins and one loss in three games, including a recent away victory over a strong Tottenham. They have scored and conceded 4 goals each, with all conceded goals against Liverpool.

The visitors have one win, one draw, and one loss in three matches, recently defeating Manchester City at home but losing away to Everton, which could be a weakness for them. Goals scored and conceded stand at 3/4.

The data does not strongly favor either side, though the home team is slightly more favored. Both teams’ form is similar, but the home team’s overall strength is somewhat weaker.

First match draw, second match home win.

2.Crystal PalaceVSSunderland

The home team shows significant improvement over three games, with one win and two draws, breaking their usual relegation pattern. They convincingly beat Villa 3-0 away last round and drew with Chelsea in the opener. Their goal difference is 4 scored and 1 conceded, showing strong offense and defense.

The visitors have performed well since promotion, with two wins and one loss. Both wins came at home, but they lost away to fellow promoted Burnley, suggesting away matches might limit their results. Their goal difference is 5 scored and 3 conceded.

The data strongly supports the home team, seemingly underestimating the visitors’ efforts.

First match home win, second match draw.

3EvertonVSVilla

The home side has two wins and one loss in three games, showing decent form with consecutive victories, though their opponents were not very strong. Their goal difference is 5 scored and 3 conceded.

The visitors have underperformed, with one draw and two losses in three matches. Last round they suffered a 0-3 home defeat to Crystal Palace. Villa is struggling this season, with no goals scored and four conceded.

The data does not favor the home team despite this; given the current forms, it actually supports the visitors, which is somewhat worrying.

First match home win, second match away win.

4NewcastleVSWolves

The home team has two draws and one loss in three games, without a win, showing a decline compared to last season. Their goal difference is 2 scored and 3 conceded, indicating offensive struggles.

The visitors have one win and two losses in three matches, performing moderately. Their goal difference is 5 scored and 6 conceded, showing decent offense but weaker defense.

The data heavily favors the home team, likely based on strength rather than form. Given the current situation, this may be an overestimation.

First match home win, second match draw.

5West HamVSTottenham

The home team is not weak but has struggled to achieve results, with one win and two losses in three league games. They scored 4 and conceded 8 goals. Their recent 3-0 away win over Nottingham was surprising, but it may not indicate sustained good form.

The visitors have two wins and one loss in three games. Last round they narrowly lost 1-0 away to Bournemouth, which was unexpected. Their earlier wins, including 3-0 over Burnley and 2-0 over Manchester City, were impressive. Their goal difference is 5 scored and 1 conceded, showing solid offense and defense.

The data slightly favors the visitors, but not strongly. Since they lost away to Bournemouth, a defeat to West Ham would not be surprising.

First match away win, second match home win.

6BrentfordVSChelsea

The home team has one win and two losses in three games, winning at home against Villa but losing two away matches. Their home form is strong, with a goal difference of 3 scored and 5 conceded.

The visitors have two wins and one draw in three matches, performing well with a goal difference of 7 scored and just 1 conceded, showing strength in both attack and defense.

The data supports the visitors, but the level of support does not fully reflect the teams’ strength and form, so caution is advised.

First match away win, second match home win.

7HeidenheimVSDortmund

There is a significant gap in strength between the teams. The home side lost both of their two matches, with a goal difference of 1 scored and 5 conceded, showing insufficient strength.

The visitors have one win and one draw in two games, with a goal difference of 6 scored and 3 conceded, showing much stronger attacking power than the home team.

The data favors the visitors considerably, though the one-goal handicap seems somewhat small. It is best to trust the traditional strong team.

Away win.

8MainzVSLeipzig

The home team’s overall strength is far below the visitors. They have one draw and one loss in two league games with no wins. Their goal difference is 1 scored and 2 conceded, showing weak offense and defensive gaps. Both opponents were not strong, indicating the home side’s poor current form.

The visitors have one win and one loss in two matches. Their first match was against Bayern Munich, where losing is understandable, but conceding six goals shows fragility. Their goal difference is 2 scored and 6 conceded.

The data shows no clear bias, reflecting the subtle nature of this matchup.

First match away win, second match home win.

9WolfsburgVSCologne

The home team has one win and one draw in two matches, maintaining good form. Their opponents were not strong, but their performance is stable. Their goal difference is 4 scored and 2 conceded, though defense needs attention.

The visitors, as newly promoted, have two wins in two matches, showing excellent form. Their opponents were Freiburg and Mainz, both solid teams, making their results valuable. They have a goal difference of 5 scored and 1 conceded, performing well in attack and defense.

The data favors the home team, but given the current form of both sides, this support may be too strong. However, their defensive capabilities are quite good, and their attacking strength is comparable.

Draw.

10BayernVSHamburg

A rivalry match promising excitement. The home team has scored 9 and conceded 2 in two games, demonstrating Bayern’s offensive power. However, conceding two goals away to Augsburg suggests some defensive issues.

The visitors seem eager to return to the second division after promotion, with one draw and one loss in two matches. Their recent 0-2 home loss to St. Pauli shows weakness. They have yet to score and conceded two goals, struggling to adapt to Bundesliga pace.

The data clearly supports the home team; such a one-sided match is expected to be steady.

Home win.

11JuventusVSInter Milan

The home side has two wins in two matches, with a goal difference of 3 scored and none conceded, showing a more stable defense than last season, despite facing relatively weak opponents.

The visitors have one win and one loss in two matches. Their recent home loss to Udinese was surprising. Their goal difference is 6 scored and 2 conceded, indicating strong offense but defensive vulnerabilities.

The data is almost even, with no clear preference. However, psychologically, the home team may have an advantage facing the visitors at home, which could influence the outcome.

First match draw, second match home win.

12FiorentinaVSNapoli

The home team has one win and one draw in two matches. They won 3-2 against Udinese but showed defensive issues, then drew 0-0 with Torino, revealing offensive problems. Both games exposed weaknesses in attack and defense.

The visitors have won both matches, scoring five goals and conceding none, showing good form and balanced offense and defense. Their opponents were not strong but their performance was consistent.

The data favors the visitors, though the support is moderate but stable.

Away win.

13SociedadVSReal Madrid

The home team has two draws and one loss in three matches, without a win. Their three opponents were not strong, and they recently lost away to a promoted team. Their goal difference is 3 scored and 4 conceded, making this season very tough.

The visitors have won all three matches since the new coach took over, with a goal difference of 6 scored and 1 conceded, showing strength in both attack and defense.

The data favors the visitors strongly, but this level of support is actually insufficient.

First match away win, second match draw.

14Atletico MadridVSVillarreal

The home team has two draws and one loss in three matches, without a win, which is unimaginable in previous seasons. Their goal difference is 3 scored and 4 conceded, showing problems in both attack and defense.

The visitors have two wins and one draw in three games, with a goal difference of 8 scored and 1 conceded, showing balanced offense and defense. Although their opponents were weaker, the visitors have gained stability.

The data supports the home team with considerable strength, but given current form, this seems excessive.

First match home win, second match away win.