Issue 25166 of the football victory lottery features matches with clear disparities, posing many traps; caution is needed for Portugal and England.

1 UAE VS Iraq

From their recent two games, both teams appear stable; the home side has one win and one loss, while the visitors have one win and one draw. Recent performances show both teams have some strength in their respective home and away matches.

The data strongly supports the home team, but considering recent head-to-heads, the home side is clearly at a disadvantage.

First draw, then home win.

2 England VS Serbia

England has already qualified and may not push too hard, prioritizing player health. Given the fatigue of national players, there might be significant rotation. Securing an unbeaten home result without losing face should suffice.

In the first leg, the home team crushed the visitors 5-0 away. Even more desperate, the visitors failed to score at home. The shot stats after the match were 21-2, showing the visitors had no effective response.

The data heavily favors the home team, with the initial half-goal handicap rising to one and a half goals, reflecting confidence in the home side.

First home win, then draw.

3 Ireland VS Portugal

The home team has played four games with one win, one draw, and two losses, scoring 4 and conceding 5, ranking third in the group with 4 points, still having a chance to fight for second place.

The visitors have three wins and one draw in four matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4, performing well overall. In the match against Hungary, they drew 2-2, revealing some defensive issues.

In their first meeting, the home team lost 0-1 away. Technical stats showed they were completely outplayed, but the visitors’ finishing was lacking, making the narrow loss somewhat fortunate.

The data strongly supports the visitors, though with some reduction compared to the first leg. Since the home team lost narrowly away, if they defend well at home, a draw is possible, especially considering players’ recent busy schedules which may affect performance.

First away win, then draw.

4 Moldova VS Italy

Away win.

5 Croatia VS Faroe Islands

Home win.

6 Luxembourg VS Germany

Away win.

7 Slovakia VS Northern Ireland

The home team shares the same points as Germany; whoever holds on first will gain an advantage in the group. Germany should have little trouble beating weaker opponents. The home team faces a tough rival, having lost 0-2 in the first leg despite holding over half possession. They created 7 shots to the visitors’ 11, showing low efficiency in counterattacks away.

The data supports the home team, a reversal from the first leg’s support for the visitors. The backing is considerable but does not fully account for the visitors’ counterattack strength.

First home win, then away win.

8 Poland VS Netherlands

The visitors are almost qualified but still need to push. The first leg ended 1-1; the home team had significantly less possession but the shot count (7-14) does not indicate a clear strength gap.

The data supports the visitors strongly, but with home and away reversed, the home team won’t give up their chance, while the visitors lack strong forwards.

First away win, then draw.

9 Georgia VS Spain

In the first leg, the home team lost 0-2 away. Technical stats show they had almost no opportunities in a one-sided match. The gap between teams is quite obvious.

The data heavily favors the visitors, but Spain has basically qualified and is unlikely to risk playing injured key players. The home team’s stadium is not weak; they once fought Turkey to a close 2-3 game.

First away win, then draw.

10 Turkey VS Bulgaria

The home team hasn’t secured qualification yet and needs another win to ensure it.

The data strongly supports the home team, indicating no pressure.

Home win.

11 Bosnia and Herzegovina VS Romania

The home team is stronger overall, and both teams currently have equal points, so this match will determine who gains the upper hand.

In their first meeting, the home team won 1-0 away. Despite lower possession, shots, and dangerous attacks than the visitors, the home team prevailed, indicating the visitors’ forwards lack precision.

The data is fairly balanced but gives the home team some confidence. The home side may leverage home advantage to win or at worst draw, which would still put them in a favorable position.

First home win, then draw.

12 Greece VS Scotland

The home team is basically eliminated, trailing the visitors by 7 points. In the first leg, they lost 1-3 away. Technical stats showed the home side actually dominated possession (67%-33%) and shots (16-8), with equal shots on target (3-3), but the visitors’ forwards were more reliable.

The data supports the home team moderately, with a notable improvement from the first leg. Confidence lies with the home side.

First home win, then draw.

13 Slovenia VS Kosovo

The home team trails the visitors by four points and must surpass them. This match is critical; even a draw is unacceptable. In the first leg, they drew 0-0 away but dominated technically with 62%-38% possession, 11-5 shots, 2-0 shots on target, and 39-29 dangerous attacks. The home team was unfortunate not to score despite controlling the game.

The data supports the home team strongly, much more than in the first leg. Confidence is with the home side.

Home win.

14 Switzerland VS Sweden

The home team hasn’t fully secured victory and won’t slack off. Facing a poorly performing visitor side, they are expected to dominate. The first leg saw the home team win 2-0 away, basically suppressing the opponent who had little chance. Although Sweden has Isak, he receives minimal support, and their defense is weak. Sweden is almost out of contention and likely to play casually to preserve fitness for league matches.

The data strongly supports the home team, building on the first leg’s advantage and home support, which naturally boosts confidence.

Home win.