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Issue 26004 of the Football 14 Matches, with many uncertainties in the Premier League, Arsenal stabilizing, and Serie A following a normal trend.

1. Bournemouth VS Tottenham

The home side has fallen from being hopeful for European qualification to fifteenth place, failing to secure a win in multiple rounds. Their last six games include 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses; at home, 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 10 goals scored and 14 conceded, indicating defensive weaknesses. Over the last six home games, they have 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7 goals for and 7 against.

The away team ranks thirteenth and has also performed below expectations, with a recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in six matches. Away from home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 5 and conceding 6 goals. While their defense is decent, their attack is noticeably weaker. Among these six opponents, only Liverpool was stronger; others had average strength. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9.

The data supports the home team with considerable strength. Based on recent performance and home/away form, the away team's defense might be their key to escaping trouble unscathed.

First: away win, second: home win.


2. Brentford VS Sunderland

The home team has climbed to seventh place thanks to recent excellent form, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last six matches. At home, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and no losses, scoring 11 and conceding 6 goals, showing strong offense and defense. In the last four rounds, they recorded three wins and one draw. In six home games, they have 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Their home strength has been a major factor in their rise in the rankings.

The away team also performs well, sitting eighth with 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss in six games. Away, they have no wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 3 and conceding 5 goals. Despite a limited attack, their defense is solid. In their last six away matches, they recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 7, showing weaker away form.

The data favors the home team strongly, but the away team's resilience should not be underestimated.

First: home win, second: draw.

3. Crystal Palace VS Aston Villa

The home team is disappointing, having dropped to 14th place despite earlier chances for European qualification. Their recent form is 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in six games, with no wins at home (0 draws, 2 losses), scoring 4 and conceding 12 goals. They have not won in five matches, struggling both offensively and defensively. In six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 7.

The away team has moved up to third place, with 5 wins and 1 loss in six games. Away, they have 2 wins and 1 loss, scoring 13 and conceding 10 goals. After losing to Arsenal, they quickly recovered with a win over Nottingham. Emery’s coaching is impressive. In six away games, they have 4 wins and 2 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 13, showing strong away capability but conceding many goals, which remains a concern.

The data slightly supports the away team but not strongly, reflecting concerns about their defense. Historically, the home team has not feared this opponent, holding a psychological edge, though this alone is insufficient given the away team’s potent attack.

First: away win, second: home win.


4. Everton VS Wolves

The home team is twelfth, with a recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. At home, they have 1 win, no draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals. Their form has declined compared to earlier stages. In six home matches, they have 2 wins and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 12, showing significant defensive weakness.

The away team remains at the bottom but recently defeated relegation rival West Ham 3-0 at home, showing renewed confidence. With injured players returning, their style has become more aggressive.

The data favors the home team, but the strength difference may be overestimated.

First: home win, second: away win.


5. Fulham VS Chelsea

The home team ranks eleventh, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in six games. At home, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 7 goals. Their recent five matches include three wins and two draws, showing strong form. In six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 9, demonstrating powerful home offense.

The away team is fifth, with 1 win, 4 draws, and 1 loss in six games. Away, they have no wins, 3 draws, and no losses, scoring 8 and conceding 7 goals. Too many draws have caused instability in their ranking. In six away matches, they have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Their last three games ended in draws; defense is solid, but their attack is lacking.

The data still gives slight support to the away team, but recent form and home/away dynamics suggest the visitors could slip up if careless, as the home team's attack remains strong.

First: away win, second: draw.


6. Burnley VS Manchester United

The home team has struggled badly with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in six games. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11 goals. In six home matches, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 11.

The away team ranks sixth and overall performs well, though inconsistent. The recent coach dismissal was sudden, adding uncertainty.

The data supports the away team, and if they want to climb higher, they must beat this opponent.

First: away win, second: draw.


7. Newcastle VS Leeds

The home team is ninth and gaining momentum, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in six matches. At home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and no losses, scoring 9 and conceding 6 goals. In six home games, they have 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 12 and conceding 7, making their home form reliable.

The away team has climbed to 22nd due to a recent unbeaten streak, with 1 win and 5 draws in six games. Away, they have no wins and 3 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 7 goals. In six away matches, they have no wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Despite three consecutive away draws, their overall away ability remains weak.

The data strongly favors the home team, trusting their home advantage.

Home win.


8. Arsenal VS Liverpool

The home team leads Manchester City by 6 points, widening the gap, with 5 wins and 1 loss in six games. At home, they have 3 wins and no losses, scoring 13 and conceding 7 goals. In six home games, they are undefeated with 6 wins, scoring 15 and conceding 4.

The away team has risen to fourth but remains inconsistent, with 3 wins and 3 draws in six games. Away, they have 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 11 and conceding 7 goals. Their recent opponents were not strong; this match will be a real test. In six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 11 and conceding 12.

The data heavily supports the home team. With the away team’s defense weakening, the home side is expected to remain steady.

Home win.


9. Napoli VS Verona

The home team ranks third, just two points behind first place. In six games, they have 5 wins and 1 loss. At home, they are undefeated with 2 wins, scoring 10 and conceding 3 goals, showing strong performance. In six home games, they have 5 wins and 1 draw, scoring 13 and conceding 6, only drawing against the surprisingly strong Como this season.

The away team is bottom-ranked, with 2 wins and 4 losses in six games. Away, they have 1 win and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 12 goals. After two wins, they suffered two losses, conceding six goals and failing to score. In six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 9.

The data strongly supports the home team, consistent with current form.

Home win.


10. Bologna VS Atalanta

The home team sits seventh, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in six games. At home, they have no wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9 goals. Their recent form is poor. In six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5, showing decent defense but overall instability.

The away team ranks eighth, with 4 wins and 2 losses in six games. Away, they have 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals. Their three wins were at home. In six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 9, showing average away performance.

The data does not strongly favor either side. Recent matches show the home team at a disadvantage, but the away team is also weak in head-to-heads. The home team holds a psychological edge.

First: draw, second: home win.


11. Parma VS Inter Milan

Away win.


12. Barcelona VS Bilbao

After this match, La Liga will enter a week-long break. No rotation is needed here; the home team has reached the semifinals and surely aims to go further.

The data strongly supports the home team, and based on recent form, their victory is assured.

Home win.


13. Atletico Madrid VS Real Madrid

In their first league meeting, the home team won 5-2. Given the current style of the away team, they may not pose as much threat now.

The data is neutral but slightly favors the away team, though this is somewhat superficial.

First: away win, second: home win.


14. Dortmund VS Marseille

In their first league encounter, the home team lost 0-1 away despite dominating the match. Upsets happen, but finals demand a winner; the home team must claim their first title.

The data strongly supports the home team, perhaps excessively, as their current form may not justify such confidence.

First: home win, second: draw.

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