Latest World Cup Semifinalists' Championship Odds: France Leads with a Huge Gap, Spain Edges England, Argentina at the Bottom

12/07/2026 12:35:11 ari

On July 12th Beijing time, the World Cup semifinal lineup was finalized. At the same time, relevant bodies promptly released the latest title probabilities and betting odds. To everyone's surprise, defending champions Argentina are viewed as the biggest underdogs, ranking last in both probability and odds among the four sides.

A key reason for Argentina's situation is that all three of their knockout matches have been tough struggles. Against Cape Verde, Egypt, and Switzerland—teams not considered strong opponents—they were pushed to the brink each time, only securing victory with last-minute winners.

On the other hand, the runners-up from the last edition, France, are the most favored team, with the best championship odds and a commanding lead. This is no surprise, as France has won all six matches in this World Cup. Apart from some difficulties caused by refereeing decisions against Paraguay, they have faced hardly any major challenges.

In particular, their dominant victory over North African dark horse Morocco has greatly impressed observers, making them strong favorites to lift the trophy.

Spain ranks second. In the knockout stages, Spain eliminated three strong European teams—Austria, Portugal, and Belgium—making their path highly credible.

England ranks third. Although their journey to the semifinals has also been bumpy, with stars like Bellingham and Kane shining together, they are still considered more likely to win than Argentina in the semifinals.