On July 16th Beijing time, the World Cup final matchup was officially determined. Spain and Argentina eliminated France and England respectively to advance to the final.
After the match, authoritative foreign media updated the latest odds for this year's Ballon d'Or winner. Messi currently ranks first with about 41%, followed by Yamal with about 30%, and Kane in third with 16%.

It is not surprising that Messi is favored. At 39, he has returned to his peak form in this World Cup, scoring 8 goals (most in the team) and providing 4 assists (also most). It is no exaggeration to say that Messi remains Argentina's backbone and soul.

As for 19-year-old Yamal, although he only scored one goal in this World Cup, he benefited from Spain's outstanding performance. Moreover, in the semi-final against France, he earned a crucial penalty that broke the deadlock. If Spain ultimately wins the title, Yamal will undoubtedly become the biggest favorite for the Ballon d'Or.
As for 32-year-old Kane, despite scoring 6 goals in the World Cup and winning the European Golden Shoe this season with Bayern, his team honor seems lacking in persuasiveness as England once again failed to win the World Cup.

As for the French duo Mbappé and Dembélé, their Ballon d'Or odds have further dropped after France's elimination. Among them, Mbappé, who has won nothing this year, has only a 2% chance of winning the Ballon d'Or.

Attachment: Latest Ballon d'Or winning odds
Messi: 41%
Yamal: 30%
Kane: 16%
Dembélé: 4%
Mbappé: 2%
Kvaratskhelia: 1%
Lautaro Martínez: 1%
Olise: 1%
Haaland: less than 1%
Rice: less than 1%
Bellingham: less than 1%
Salah: less than 1%
Pedri: less than 1%
Vitinha: less than 1%
Vinicius: less than 1%
Palmer: less than 1%
Álvarez: less than 1%
Raphinha: less than 1%
Bruno Fernandes: less than 1%
Cristiano Ronaldo: less than 1%
Valverde: less than 1%
Doué: less than 1%
Achraf: less than 1%
Luis Díaz: less than 1%