Alcaraz has openly admitted that he wants to break the record. Sinner, though he didn't say that explicitly, clearly certainly thought so. However, breaking records doesn't happen every day, and Grand Slam records are even more difficult to achieve.
In tennis, a sport with an extremely long history, there are very few players who can actually set records at Grand Slams. Djokovic is one of them, with the most Grand Slam singles titles to his name – 24. This number used to be much smaller in the past, and some people thought that 20 Grand Slam titles would be enough to go down in history.
So, can anyone else reach this number or even exceed it? Alcaraz believes he can. While he didn't make it clear that he wanted to win 25 majors, he admitted that he wanted to be the greatest player of all time. Since the number of Grand Slam titles is the most weighty measure of this achievement, it is necessary to reach this height to become the "best of all time".
Can he do it? The 22-year-old Spaniard has at least 10 years to play barring a major accident. That means he has a chance to play in about 40 Grand Slam tournaments. If he wants to reach his goal of 25 titles, he needs to win 21 more, which means about half of the next Grand Slams.
Is this possible? It's not impossible, but maybe it's not realistic, and there are too many factors that will affect the achievement of this goal. In fact, Alcaraz himself has slowed down his ambitious goals from the early stages of his career, as he may have realised they were too difficult to achieve.
Sinner, by contrast, has been more poised. This is understandable, as he has fewer Grand Slam titles than Alcaraz, although the gap is not huge, and he has won three so far. But both men are still far from reaching 10 titles, which would be the first major hurdle for them to reach even higher.
It's fair to say that Alcaraz will struggle to equal Djokovic's record. From a statistical point of view, it is highly likely that Alcaraz will not be able to match Djokovic's achievement. Theoretically achievable, but for now, it is still unlikely. Robson, a former professional, agrees that it is a bit ridiculous to discuss whether to get close to that record. She's not a supporter of Djokovic, but she knows how hard it can be to replicate that achievement.
"They're talking about winning three or four Grand Slam titles a year to equalise Deyo's record, and it's a bit ridiculous to think that way." Robson said. Of course, if you're as good and motivated as Alcaraz or Sinner, maybe it's not too ridiculous. What is really ridiculous is to make this a realistic goal. Alcaraz has already had a number of problems against other top players and has been plagued by injuries. Quite a few people have pointed out that his style of play is fierce and is unlikely to last into his thirties.
Even if all goes well, this is unlikely, and winning 21 of the 40 Grand Slams would be a rare win rate in tennis history. That's not to say it won't happen, Sampras's 14 titles were thought to be the limit, but now three players have surpassed him by a wide margin. There will be people who will hit this height in the future, but it remains to be seen whether anyone will be able to rush to 20 or even above.
Perhaps it would seem more realistic if, five years from now, Alcaraz is 27 years old and has won 14 or 15 titles. Now he's only got four, and it's too early to say that's too early. Robson is right – and while it may not be "ridiculous", it shouldn't be the focus of Alcaraz or Sinner at this stage, as the chances of them reaching that height are slim.
This is the reality, and it also confirms from the side how strong the "giant trio" was at its peak. It's not for nothing that they're called "unsurpassable giants" – because they're exactly that.(Source: Tennis Home Author: Spark)