2025 French Open Women's Singles Final: The Ultimate Battle of Spear and Shield!

In a few hours, the final of the 2025 French Open women's singles: Sabalenka vs Gauff will be staged. This is also the matchup between the top two seeds in the women's singles of this year's French Open, and it will surely be exciting. If Sabalenka emerges victorious, it will not only be her fourth Grand Slam title, but it will also be her first Grand Slam title on a natural venue and one step closer to a Grand Slam; If Gauff gets the win, it would be her second Grand Slam title and get rid of a short-lived title in the pan. Therefore, this game is also of great significance for both sides.

Judging from the characteristics of the two players' playing style, this is a typical spear and shield battle, whether Sabalenka's spear finally breaks Gauff's impregnable defense, or Gauff's impermeable shield finally forces Sabalenka's attack to turn into mistakes, which will determine the outcome of this game.

Judging by the data of the first six rounds of the two, Sabalenka has an overwhelming advantage. The first is the number of aces, with Sabalenka with 28 goals far more than Gauff's six; The number of double faults is 12 for Sabalenka and 33 for Gauff. Therefore, Sabalenka's ratio of aces to double faults is 2.33, which is significantly higher than Gauff's 0.18. This is followed by 159 for Sabalenka and 100 for Gauff; In terms of unforced errors, Sabalenka is 116, and Gauff as a defensive player has 146 more than Sabalenka, resulting in Sabalenka's 1.37 win and UE ratio of 1.37 significantly greater than Gauff's 0.68. Finally, on serve, Sabalenka's first-serve success rate averaged 65% in the first six rounds and Gauff's 61%; Sabalenka and Gauff both have 68% first-serve scoring percentages; The second-serve scoring rate is 57% for Sabalenka and 47% for Gauff. Although the gap between the two is relatively minimal in terms of service data, it cannot hide the fact that Gauff is behind Sabalenka in all statistics across the board.

Looking at the opponents they won in the first six rounds, Sabalenka's average ranking was 40.83 and Gauff's 116.5, even considering that Gauff faced Boisson, the biggest dark horse at the French Open this year, at 361, but it still highlights the inadequacy of the challenge he faced. In terms of the quality of opponents, Sabalenka defeated Danilovich, nemesis Anisimova and Zheng Qinwen, who had recently defeated her in Rome, and Swiatek, who ended her 26-game winning streak in this tournament in the semi-finals, showed the gold content of her draw. Compared with Sabalenka, Gauff's six opponents only Keith and Aleksandrova have some strength, and the others are either qualifiers, wild card players and perennial third-rate players, which shows that the weakness of the opponent greatly reduces the gold content of Gauff's draw. Therefore, from the other side's analysis, Sabalenka is also the more trustworthy side.

Judging from the past record of the two, the two sides have a 5-5 draw, a 1-1 draw in the Grand Slam record, and a 1-1 draw on the dirt field, and the last meeting was in Madrid this year, Sabalenka swept Gauff in two sets to win. So from all aspects, Gauff is obviously at an absolute disadvantage, but anything can happen in the final of the Grand Slam, this year's Australian Open Keys defeated Sabalenka with relatively backward data in the first six rounds, and the 2023 US Open final Gauff dragged down the fierce Sabalenka with a tenacious defense is even more impressive. Another point is Gauff's invisible advantage, that is, Gauff has lost to the same opponent in the French Open in the past three years, that is, the final champion Swiatek, which shows that in the past three years, Gauff is the second favorite after Swiatek in terms of comprehensive strength in the French Open, which Sabalenka does not have.

Whoever wins tonight's women's singles final will be the new women's singles champion of the French Open, and the Susan Lenglen Cup will also have a new owner. Roland Garros, who was known as an "upset hotbed" in the past, will still be a top player after the exit of Queen Swiatek on clay, so let's wait and see.(Source: Tennis Home Author: Xiaodi)